Introduction of various factors affecting the printing industry
2011 is the beginning of the Twelfth Five-Year Plan. The launch of emerging strategic industrial plans, the upgrading of residents' consumption and the further acceleration of urbanization all contain huge market demand and development space, and economic development faces many favorable conditions. With the gradual expansion of the field of private investment and the continuous optimization of the investment environment; the increase in employment and the improvement of income distribution will promote the further active consumption of urban and rural residents, and the consumer goods market is expected to continue to flourish. Based on comprehensive calculations, China's economy is expected to maintain a steady and rapid growth in structural adjustment in 2011, with GDP growth of about 9.5%.
Forecast of Fixed Assets Investment Situation
Although there are many favorable conditions for maintaining a reasonable scale of fixed asset investment in 2011, there are restrictions on new capacity investment in some traditional industries, real estate developers may wait and see and slow down investment progress, and local government financing capacity is subject to regulatory requirements. Factors such as 2011 will affect the growth rate of fixed asset investment in 2011, especially the emerging industries have not yet developed to the stage of large-scale industrial replacement of fixed equipment for new investment. Private investment is not willing to grow autonomously. The nominal growth rate of investment is about 24%, and the actual growth rate has slowed down from 2010.
Consumption Situation Forecast
Changes in employment situation and wage levels in recent years have strengthened the staying power for expanding consumption. The construction of a social security system has helped ease the worries of residents ’consumption. The growth pattern of savings and consumption has made China ’s consumption more stable, but the rise in housing prices and prices has affected some urban and rural areas. Residents ’spending power and willingness to consume have a large negative impact. The expansion of consumer policies such as home appliances going to the countryside, home appliances and automobiles and motorcycles has experienced a declining effect. Considering various factors, it is estimated that the total retail sales of consumer goods in 2011 will increase by 18.5% in nominal terms. An increase of about 14%, which is the same as in 2010.
Forecast of import and export trade situation
The growth of foreign trade exports faces many uncertainties. The high unemployment rate in developed countries has weakened the consumption growth of residents, which will affect the demand for Chinese goods to a certain extent; protectionism has further intensified and trade frictions have increased significantly. The adjustment of China's economic structure will weaken the new demand for raw material imports. A certain appreciation of the RMB will have a greater impact on the adjustment of the trade structure. The upgrading of China's industrial structure will promote the upgrading of the export trade structure. The export of capital goods with higher technological content will grow faster than Traditionally superior products, China's exports to emerging market countries are expected to continue to maintain rapid growth. It is expected that the growth rate of China's foreign trade imports and exports in 2011 will slow down compared to 2010. According to preliminary forecasts, foreign trade exports will increase by about 16% year-on-year, and imports will increase by about 20%, with a surplus of US $ 165 billion, a decrease of about 13.2% year-on-year.